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by LaMyrsian
15 July 2025, 12:22
Forum: Catan
Topic: For your comedic amusement- 24 straight rolls without a 6 OR 8.
Replies: 15
Views: 376

Re: For your comedic amusement- 24 straight rolls without a 6 OR 8.

Your game had 66 moves, i.e. 43 (overlapping) sequences of 24 consecutive rolls. One of these 43 sequences did contain neither 6 and 8. The expected value of this to happen is 43*(26/36)^24=0.0137=1:73 Thus you are expected to have one such event per 73 games. Your formula greatly overstates the od...

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