Search found 8 matches

by swilkiway
21 August 2023, 05:20
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: "Interaction" rating should be 2 or even 1
Replies: 18
Views: 1823

Re: "Interaction" rating should be 2 or even 1

The ratings are all independent and don't make sense when compared. The entire purpose of ratings is for comparison. A rating of 100 means absolutely nothing until you see something else that rates 50 or 150 and can say "okay, the 100-rated thing is comparatively better or worse". Unless ...
by swilkiway
19 August 2023, 19:52
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: "Interaction" rating should be 2 or even 1
Replies: 18
Views: 1823

Re: "Interaction" rating should be 2 or even 1

The ratings are all independent and don't make sense when compared. The entire purpose of ratings is for comparison. A rating of 100 means absolutely nothing until you see something else that rates 50 or 150 and can say "okay, the 100-rated thing is comparatively better or worse". I agree...
by swilkiway
17 August 2023, 03:31
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Wood Duck
Replies: 110
Views: 21602

Re: Wood Duck

Am I interpreting this correctly, that players in your sample whose first bird in the forest was the Blue-Gray Gnatcatcher won less than a third of the time? And if so, in your opinion is that a "real" effect, or is there some confounding influence in the data? Or is it just chance? I fin...
by swilkiway
17 August 2023, 03:27
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Wood Duck
Replies: 110
Views: 21602

Re: Wood Duck

That said, what's your sample? Did you select a group of players and check all their games? Is it your games? This is also very relevant to any potential argument. What also matters are the ratings of both players in each game, and hopefully the players playing Wood Duck are right around the averag...
by swilkiway
14 August 2023, 02:22
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Wood Duck
Replies: 110
Views: 21602

Re: Wood Duck

TL;DR A 90% win rate for players who start with the wood duck is an exaggeration, but only slightly, and it's far and away the best non-big-four bird. All right, I've got some stats. Across the course of all the two-player games I've recorded (I include only two-player games because they're easier t...
by swilkiway
11 August 2023, 06:18
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Wood Duck
Replies: 110
Views: 21602

Re: Wood Duck

All four birds give you a net gain of one resource just like many other birds. It's absurd to ban them, especially the killdeer and franklin's gull. I think this is an oversimplification. Yes, they net you one resource, but this statement assumes all the resources are equally valuable, which is not...
by swilkiway
11 August 2023, 02:15
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Interpretting Statistics
Replies: 4
Views: 492

Re: Interpretting Statistics

I'm not the one who programmed it, so I'm not certain, but my guess is that each bird is part of an enum, and it gets averaged just like all the other stats. So while the other stats have a sensible numerical value when averaged, since they're supposed to be interpreted numerically, the ones you ref...
by swilkiway
10 August 2023, 20:34
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Wood Duck
Replies: 110
Views: 21602

Re: Wood Duck

I'm a little late to the party, but I actually do have a way to calculate some stats-- I wrote a script a while back that can calculate stats for different birds based on all my games. Granted, that does mean the stats might be a little slanted since I tend to play a certain way, but it should still...

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