Search found 42 matches

by laggercat
20 January 2024, 03:29
Forum: Discussions
Topic: Which BGA games are most driven by luck?
Replies: 34
Views: 2842

Which BGA games are most driven by luck?

I didn't know how to word the question well, so please don't get all forensic on the precise wording. All I am asking is which games on BGA are closest to a pure luck game, where the finishing order is least related to the decisions of the players. I don't even care what the 'correct' answer is, asu...
by laggercat
05 January 2024, 21:05
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: olympia = auto loss
Replies: 8
Views: 7609

Re: olympia = auto loss

Here are statistics from over 18,000 results from BGA games.

https://boardgamegeek.com/thread/269712 ... unbalanced

Olympia B is the worst wonder at every player count.

Hali B is by far the best wonder at every player count.
by laggercat
16 March 2023, 12:22
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: Some first edition stats
Replies: 9
Views: 1579

Re: Some first edition stats

Data for 3,431 7-player games (7p games played by top players, from August 2020 and older): --Win%-- % 1st+2nd place-- % 6th+7th place Hb-- 45 64 6 Rb-- 29 48 9 Eb-- 27 48 12 Gb-- 27 42 10 Ab-- 25 45 14 Ob-- 25 42 16 Bb-- 20 35 16 Ha-- 23 38 18 Ra-- 27 38 19 Ea-- 17 40 15 Ga-- 31 51 11 Aa-- 25 39 1...
by laggercat
28 February 2023, 21:26
Forum: Discussions
Topic: Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents
Replies: 11
Views: 861

Re: Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents

You can go below 200 if you lose. Which should happen nearly 50% of the time starting from 200 and playing a single game. Then when you fall down a bracket and you could continue to sink down. I suppose you could argue you just need to rinse and repeat until it works. Thanks for the replies everyon...
by laggercat
28 February 2023, 12:42
Forum: Discussions
Topic: Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents
Replies: 11
Views: 861

Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents

I am curious about the impact on a player's ELO if they only play in games where there is a set minimum ELO rating. Let me give a simple example. Consider a game of pure luck - the entire game is that each player rolls a single dice once and the highest roll wins and lowest roll is last. After each ...
by laggercat
27 February 2023, 14:08
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: Some first edition stats
Replies: 9
Views: 1579

Re: Some first edition stats

I've done some more stats, going back into the pre-second edition times, with higher ELO players. About 1,300 results. All four player still, B sides only Average scores: 55.4 Hali 53.8 Rhodes 52.8 Ephesus 52.0 Alexandria 51.6 Olympia 51.5 Giza 49.9 Babylon Average win %: 36.5 Hali 35.9 Rhodes 25.9 ...
by laggercat
27 February 2023, 13:28
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: Some first edition stats
Replies: 9
Views: 1579

Re: Some first edition stats

Thanks so much for calculating these, laggercat. I don't know how much manual effort went into this but it had to have been sizable. @6element - for some context I don't think anyone is trying to apply these stats to improve at the game. Myself and others have been debating which edition of the gam...
by laggercat
26 February 2023, 21:53
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: My extreme run of results
Replies: 8
Views: 1510

My extreme run of results

I'm curious if others have this kind of experience with 7 Wonders. A few days ago my ELO was 411. Over the next 15 games it fell to 250, the lowest I've been for a very long time. During that sequence I finished last 6 times and second last 4 times, against a variety of high and low ELO players. Alm...

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