Search found 45 matches

by laggercat
17 January 2025, 23:36
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Crows
Replies: 22
Views: 1179

Re: Crows

I have posted a lot of stats of birds here, from over 4000 boards in 2 player games randomly taken from BGA: https://boardgamegeek.com/thread/3389781/statistics-from-4020-wingspan-boards-2p There are no birds with win rates remotely close to 90%. When they are played, the Power 4 birds win around 70...
by laggercat
05 January 2025, 07:18
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: A rational solution to "the big 4"
Replies: 5
Views: 614

Re: A rational solution to "the big 4"

For the ravens, just make them worth zero points at the end of the game, rather than 4 and 5. That's a gentle solution. For the Killdeer/Gull, just assume they have no egg slots. Part of the reason they are powerful is that they can use their own egg to trigger the ability, so just remove that option.
by laggercat
31 December 2024, 01:48
Forum: Wingspan
Topic: Rank these birds...
Replies: 6
Views: 606

Re: Rank these birds...

You can see performance statistics for over 4000 boards here (2 player only): https://boardgamegeek.com/thread/3389781/statistics-from-4020-wingspan-boards-2p Here are the top 20 birds for winning percentage (minimum 50 plays) The same bird played in different regions count as different birds (F=for...
by laggercat
20 January 2024, 03:29
Forum: Discussions
Topic: Which BGA games are most driven by luck?
Replies: 34
Views: 3142

Which BGA games are most driven by luck?

I didn't know how to word the question well, so please don't get all forensic on the precise wording. All I am asking is which games on BGA are closest to a pure luck game, where the finishing order is least related to the decisions of the players. I don't even care what the 'correct' answer is, asu...
by laggercat
05 January 2024, 21:05
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: olympia = auto loss
Replies: 8
Views: 7809

Re: olympia = auto loss

Here are statistics from over 18,000 results from BGA games.

https://boardgamegeek.com/thread/269712 ... unbalanced

Olympia B is the worst wonder at every player count.

Hali B is by far the best wonder at every player count.
by laggercat
16 March 2023, 12:22
Forum: 7 Wonders
Topic: Some first edition stats
Replies: 9
Views: 1660

Re: Some first edition stats

Data for 3,431 7-player games (7p games played by top players, from August 2020 and older): --Win%-- % 1st+2nd place-- % 6th+7th place Hb-- 45 64 6 Rb-- 29 48 9 Eb-- 27 48 12 Gb-- 27 42 10 Ab-- 25 45 14 Ob-- 25 42 16 Bb-- 20 35 16 Ha-- 23 38 18 Ra-- 27 38 19 Ea-- 17 40 15 Ga-- 31 51 11 Aa-- 25 39 1...
by laggercat
28 February 2023, 21:26
Forum: Discussions
Topic: Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents
Replies: 11
Views: 935

Re: Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents

You can go below 200 if you lose. Which should happen nearly 50% of the time starting from 200 and playing a single game. Then when you fall down a bracket and you could continue to sink down. I suppose you could argue you just need to rinse and repeat until it works. Thanks for the replies everyon...
by laggercat
28 February 2023, 12:42
Forum: Discussions
Topic: Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents
Replies: 11
Views: 935

Impact on ELO from limiting ratings of opponents

I am curious about the impact on a player's ELO if they only play in games where there is a set minimum ELO rating. Let me give a simple example. Consider a game of pure luck - the entire game is that each player rolls a single dice once and the highest roll wins and lowest roll is last. After each ...

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