Coach Phil wrote:I really love playing games on this site but I do have some negative comments in regards to some of the play on here. The games that are suppose to be typically random (Can't stop, Yahtzee, etc.) seem to be geared toward higher ranking players. Just played a game in which the opening round, the player took the number 5 all the way to claim the column in Can't Stop. As many games as I have played of Can't Stop, I have never witnessed a round in which someone has taken that many turns and not crap out so to speak.
I have. I've seen 20+ rolls. Not to mention that I just came in I think 4th in a 5 player Yahtzee when I was the high ELO. So this just isn't true. And I've beat high level players on Can't Stop.
This is a really typical misconception about dice games, that it's not truly random. They don't have any reason to cheat and gear the games towards high ELO players. I won't pretend I like everything they do here, but I do trust they aren't trying to help players cheat. The thing about probabilities is they are just that: probabilities. Not guarantees. Each roll is independent and has the same probability as the last 3 rolls, and last 3000 and last 3 million rolls. And yes it can happen that someone runs a column, and I've seen it. I play this game on two sites, and between the two have about as many games as you do. I'm surprised you don't see this more often. I don't really know how to figure the probability of this particular type of thing, so someone else can figure that out.
Usually in the case of randomness like this, people tend towards noticing the oddball stuff and not noticing what seems more normal. Higher ranked players generally get that way by playing the odds and understanding how the game works. They sometimes get columns by running them all in one turn, or maybe two turns. While they're doing this, they "crap out" a lot too, but they only need to "run it" once. And I bet you aren't noticing all the times they crap out.
EDIT: I looked at that game. Your opponent was on 5, 7 & 8. Those are good odds and that's when I see people roll 20 times and get away with it. And ELO of 254 is not a higher ranked player. The top 10 are all 476 and higher.