Simple and fun case

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JackKey
Posts: 21
Joined: 07 January 2014, 12:47

Simple and fun case

Post by JackKey » 06 April 2021, 23:15

Today I have got quite interesting case which I'd like to share with you.

You can solve it easily here (playing red).
https://imgur.com/a/IMZ6hp7

[spoiler title="Answer is here"]
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=161958632 (the 3rd case)
All three aspects were at the same location!
https://imgur.com/a/xMZc9QE

Have you seen this before? Does it happen quite often?
My calculations say its chance is 1:2744 which means it will happen to you approx. once per 915 games.

[/spoiler]

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diamant
Posts: 469
Joined: 18 April 2016, 16:39

Re: Simple and fun case

Post by diamant » 24 June 2021, 14:25

Your calculation is wrong. For a given player, the event considered has a probability of 1:196 per mini-game.

So, it will not be uncommon to meet it in a game, still of 3 mini-games, with 5 players around the table.

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JackKey
Posts: 21
Joined: 07 January 2014, 12:47

Re: Simple and fun case

Post by JackKey » 03 August 2021, 23:21

Ah... you are right.
My calculation is for the case when it happens exactly at the given location (e.g. exactly at Central Station).
But counting that it may happen at any place: it is 1:196 per mini-game per player.

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