I disagree it is wrongExaltedAngel wrote: ↑10 February 2023, 16:09From a mathematical point of view it's just wrong to judge a move AFTER the RNG applies.
I'll make an example to explain: let's say you are in a situation where you have the chance to gamble 10$, if you win you double your money, if you lose you lose it all. The odds of winning are 40%. Accepting the gamble is just plain wrong, the expected value of your bet is -2$. It doesn't matter if then you win, the choice was wrong.
Can't stop is a bit more complicated than this because even if evaluating the chance of failing is not too hard, it's a lot more difficult to judge the expected value of a move, but the same principles apply: if u were able to perfectly estimate that, any move can be considered right or wrong regardless of its result. This means I wouldn't care about what was the possible result of the last roll u never took, or blame yourself for taking the roll that made you waste the progress of the turn, just focus on making the best choices BEFORE the roll, anything that happens after the roll just doesn't matter and shouldn't affect in any way your judgement about the choice.
I hope it is clear, english is not my native language
It's not always wrong to take that bet, it just has a negative expected value
What if I need $20 for a train fare home? If I don't gamble I have to walk. If I gamble and lose I have to walk. But if I win I the train