Hello,
this is more of a mathematical/statistical discussion, so if you are not interested in this field, the following is probably no for you.
I assume, that when I go to the game statistics and I add up:
Points for first/second/third/fourth line
and points for tourist attractions
and points for connected lines
and points for assignments
I should get the average Points that player achieves in a single game, correct?
So the Point-Average of winners as of today is e.g.
27.22 + 25.46 + 24.07 + 22.25 + 10.66 + 18.33 + 14.83 = 142,82
Looking at some of the top players of the world I realised, that this point average does not always correlate with the winrate of this player.
Example: Player B has a 9 percent-points better winrate than Player A, but a 2 point lower point average. Both have at least 500 Games.
How is this possible? There is no player interaction and at this number of games in arena I would assume both players on average get opponents of comparable skill level.
Possible Explanations I came up with:
- If one player participates in tournaments and the other doesn´t the opponents skill level might be quite different
- Denying my own assumption made above: If they play from different countrys the opponent skill level might actually differ because of the time zones. But the same effect (higher WR, but lower point-average or vice versa) can be seen with players from the same country.
- Historic reasons: Loosing a lot of games in the beginning will lower the average Winrate stronger than the average points. I would assume this effect to be small at 400+ games played.
Have you got further suggestions? Am I missing something?
Greetings
Chessmaster Hex
this is more of a mathematical/statistical discussion, so if you are not interested in this field, the following is probably no for you.
I assume, that when I go to the game statistics and I add up:
Points for first/second/third/fourth line
and points for tourist attractions
and points for connected lines
and points for assignments
I should get the average Points that player achieves in a single game, correct?
So the Point-Average of winners as of today is e.g.
27.22 + 25.46 + 24.07 + 22.25 + 10.66 + 18.33 + 14.83 = 142,82
Looking at some of the top players of the world I realised, that this point average does not always correlate with the winrate of this player.
Example: Player B has a 9 percent-points better winrate than Player A, but a 2 point lower point average. Both have at least 500 Games.
How is this possible? There is no player interaction and at this number of games in arena I would assume both players on average get opponents of comparable skill level.
Possible Explanations I came up with:
- If one player participates in tournaments and the other doesn´t the opponents skill level might be quite different
- Denying my own assumption made above: If they play from different countrys the opponent skill level might actually differ because of the time zones. But the same effect (higher WR, but lower point-average or vice versa) can be seen with players from the same country.
- Historic reasons: Loosing a lot of games in the beginning will lower the average Winrate stronger than the average points. I would assume this effect to be small at 400+ games played.
Have you got further suggestions? Am I missing something?
Greetings
Chessmaster Hex