NP, sorry I'm slow, though. Free time is limited this week for me, and it's annoying to do replays on my phone.
Looking ahead to turn 2 with Merry and Aragorn.
In my version of turn 1, they are both in Rivendell, but given your setup here, I probably get the eye away from Frodo in case there is a search.
Best options are probably:
-an Event (elven rope to move Frodo to Aragorn), or Elrond Council like I recommended on turn 1.
If you go this route, I'd probably say Elven Council (since you likely want Merry there anyway, and it lets you save Elven Ropes for later since it's more versatile).
I'd pull Merry, Frodo, Aragorn (and maybe Gandalf, although he shouldn't hang around up there for long)
If you go that route, you'd want to leave Merry in Rivendell to build friendship for Objective 1, and Aragorn likely wouldn't move farther than Hollin with Frodo, so might be smart to actually move Aragorn before the event and have him move the useless dwarf in Ered Lun to the Shire to protect that Haven. Then Merry just makes Friendship with the single action.
-Other alternative if you want to hold off on an event would be to move Aragorn to Rivendell, grab the elf, and go fight in Dunland, that will draw the eye.
Ok, playing through your turn it looks like you made friendship, but wasted the other 4 actions of Aragorn (unless I missed something on the replay).
Shadow Cards...
There comes the beginning of the threat to Grey Havens through Dol Amroth I mentioned in my first post, and the threat to Helm's Deep from Isengard (which could have been crippled with my move of playing Eowyn in the Fords with a troop).
Turn 3 brings us to Arwen/Gandalf.
Arwen has no cards to prep, and can only muster 2 elves at most, so probably best to do a single action this turn and muster once while Gandalf:
-goes to Rivendell
-takes both elves to Hollin
-Battles (and hopefully wins)
-Moves to Tharb maybe with whatever elves survived with plans to leave one there and drop the other in Dunland for defense (if both survived)
Ok, playing through your group's moves...
Ok, now you Council of Elrond, but it's kind of late. Would have more helpful earlier.
Also, you pull Gimli, but that's a mistake. You want him mustering dwarves in the NE.
You also use Arwen's counsel ability to take a sword card from Eowin/Frodo. Might be better to take a ring from Merry/Aragorn to give to Frodo next turn, though? Eowin may want that sword to help take Isengard.
Gandalf moves with the elves, which is fine, though.
Shadow cards:
Big group marching towards the Dale, but no Gimli there to muster for an easy defense.
Isengard reinforcement, which is fine.
I'll try to come back and look at the last 2 turns of the first round tomorrow.