Cribbage ELO rank calcs not correct or productive...
Posted: 16 January 2021, 06:29
Well, the ELO rank calculation for Cribbage does not calculate the odds of winning very well. It actually discourages anyone with a high ELO and high chance of winning to play with beginners, which seems counter productive. If I'm playing a beginner at the game, the 80% chance of winning that the ELO rank calculation gives me is nonsense. The beginner is just new to bga, not a first time cribbage player. So I win 5 ELO points if I beat a new player, and lose 15-20 if game is lost. This is very far from real odds. There is absolutely no learning curve for most players who decide to play cribbage -- most would already have played many many games.
So, if you're trying to increase your ELO you can't play anyone who has less than 75% or so of your own ELO, otherwise you lose too much. Odds are you're not going to beat an Experienced Cribbage player 4 games out of 5 just because he's new to BGA. Even if you're not actively trying to increase your ELO it is discouraging to play 2 games (win 1 and lose 1) and lose 10-15 ELO points.
So, if you're trying to increase your ELO you can't play anyone who has less than 75% or so of your own ELO, otherwise you lose too much. Odds are you're not going to beat an Experienced Cribbage player 4 games out of 5 just because he's new to BGA. Even if you're not actively trying to increase your ELO it is discouraging to play 2 games (win 1 and lose 1) and lose 10-15 ELO points.