Board Game Arena

Table #198798714
Move #338
Progression 96%


I think I got the 3 and 6 dice about 6 times - along with other REpeated dice combos like 6 and 2 prob 5 times and 3 and 4 prob 5 times, ... 3 came up in 80% of my turns; during this game!

Seems like a coder was at work!

Or...you know...just randomness at work...

There's a 5.56% chance to roll any exact combination of two different numbers in each turn. That's not an incredibly low likelihood. You have 25 turns per game. The dice do not have a memory nor does mathematics have a memory. You rolled very unluckily in your game but this must sometimes happen.

The chance for you to roll at least one 3 on any given turn is 30.55%. So this is a quite large probability.

If my math is correct you should average roughly 1.39 times a 6/3 roll per game. That obviously includes games where you roll it 10 times and also games where you roll it 0 times.

So if you rolled 6/3 zero times or 20 times thus far in a game doesn't change the probabilites for your next roll.

If you would play enough games of The Castles of Burgundy you would also see a game where a player would only roll the exact identical dice rolls in each of their 25 turns
It's just a matter of how many games you need to play so that this would definitely happen

It is extremely unlikely to happen in a single given game but if you would play an incredibly large amount of games it would definitely happen.

Pistol Star wrote: ↑03 September 2021, 10:32It's just a matter of how many games you need to play so that this would happen

If you're lucky, just one