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Twelve times 6
Posted: 08 December 2021, 22:01
by Redeffer
Hello.
Did anyone manage to throw 12 sixes in one move? Or 12 ones? Just curious to know.
The probability is extremely low - about 0.0000000459% or 1 / 2,176,782,336.
- 12x12x12x12x12x12x12x12x12x12x12x12 — копия.jpg (240.37 KiB) Viewed 2053 times
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 08 December 2021, 22:14
by simlmx
It's not 12 6s, it's 4 6s!
Then there are 3 ways to split those 4 6s in 2 pairs:
6,6 / 6,6
6,6 / 6,6
6,6 / 6,6
This is where the 12 6s you see come from.
The odds of getting that are 1/6^4 ~ 0.077%
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 08 December 2021, 22:44
by Redeffer
Thanks for the clarification.
Indeed, 4 dice are thrown, I didn’t pay attention to it before.
In any case, the chance is not very big, although certainly higher than I thought
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 19 January 2022, 20:53
by SluggerBaloney
Deleted
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 19 January 2022, 21:02
by Ranior
SluggerBaloney wrote: ↑19 January 2022, 20:53
simlmx wrote: ↑08 December 2021, 22:14
The odds of getting that are 1/6^4 ~ 0.077%
And quads comes up usually twice a game on average. But the roller is TOTALLY fair guys, cause computers!
To be clear, if you want the odds on any roll for any quad, that is 1/216 or .46% roughly.
Games of Can't Stop in arena mode probably feature roughly 80-100 rolls, so you'd likely see a quad about every other game.
If you have any good evidence for your claim across a wide sampling of games than perhaps there would be something to be concerned about, but the people claiming the system isn't randomized well have always been shown to be incorrect and generally have a poor understanding of statistics and randomness anyhow.
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 23 January 2022, 06:55
by Meeplelowda
Ranior wrote: ↑19 January 2022, 21:02and generally have a poor understanding of statistics and randomness anyhow.
And are not receptive to being educated about it.
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 17 March 2022, 20:07
by SquashEngineer
I played a game where I swear the guy rolled 9 sevens in a row - blew me away.
Love me some "push yer luck" games.
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 18 March 2022, 09:07
by voriki
7 is the most common roll obviously.
6+1
5+2
4+3
3+4
2+5
1+6
It's risky, but the odds of throwing 9 sevens in a row are most likely very doable.
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 18 March 2022, 10:32
by Romain672
SquashEngineer wrote: ↑17 March 2022, 20:07
I played a game where I swear the guy rolled 9 sevens in a row - blew me away.
Love me some "push yer luck" games.
Probability to roll a seven is 64.35%.
0.6435^9=1.9%, for each possible serie, for each player (and for both players, but that don't apply much for can't stop).
If a can't stop has like 60 rolls every game (30 each), you get 2*21 starts possible. Which give you 55.18% chance to have that event happening at any point of the game
(for one time, I used actual probabilities, and not simulations
)
Re: Twelve times 6
Posted: 01 May 2022, 04:49
by ElGera
Ranior wrote: ↑19 January 2022, 21:02
To be clear, if you want the odds on any roll for any quad, that is 1/216 or .46% roughly.
Games of Can't Stop in arena mode probably feature roughly 80-100 rolls, so you'd likely see a quad about every other game.
If you have any good evidence for your claim across a wide sampling of games than perhaps there would be something to be concerned about, but the people claiming the system isn't randomized well have always been shown to be incorrect and generally have a poor understanding of statistics and randomness anyhow.
Hello Ranior.
I am by no means an expert in statistics. I have some notions but nothing more.
However. Before, placing a chip on 6, another on 7, and another on 8 and winning one of those columns was possible. In two player duels, leaving those three columns free could make you lose any game.
But since the new season started, or a month or two before that, it has become impossible for me. I have NEVER made it.
Is it possible that they have fixed something in random and it is no longer possible to run in 6,7,8?