double

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KIki Patrick
Posts: 1
Joined: 09 May 2022, 06:35

double

Post by KIki Patrick »

je trouve que mes adversaires ont très souvent des doubles !! a partir de la il est très difficile de construire un jeu !
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RicardoRix
Posts: 2110
Joined: 29 April 2012, 23:43

Re: double

Post by RicardoRix »

You have to wait until it's your turn to get more doubles than your opponent. The doubles are just random.

These statistics show that you actually have a slightly higher rate of doubles compared to everyone. 4.28 vs 4.04.
https://boardgamearena.com/playerstat?i ... 61&game=53
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THE KID
Posts: 3
Joined: 20 May 2022, 21:27

Re: double

Post by THE KID »

Je suis bien en accord avec toi en plus si tu ose quitter a cause trop de double bien on te donne une pénalité, et ces désagréable cela car ces a eux de régler le bug des double a répétition. Ce site devrait fermer complètement. Je suis un pro de ce jeu et je ne peux pas jouer comme je voudrais. Et si tu regarde les pion se dé^lacer tu vois vraiment que les gens les déplace en fonction des double. Ces plate car ceci détruit la façon réel de jouer a ce jeu
veggivet
Posts: 48
Joined: 21 March 2022, 21:16

Re: double

Post by veggivet »

I recently had a game where my opponent won in only 16 moves because he/she had 7 doubles in those 16 dice rolls. How many games would one have to play to see that with fair dice?
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dschingis27
Posts: 549
Joined: 27 June 2015, 18:30

Re: double

Post by dschingis27 »

veggivet wrote: 22 July 2022, 02:17 How many games would one have to play to see that with fair dice?
Well, obviously the number of games you played on this site. That's the thing with randomness, it happens when it happens. Even if I told you, you'd need 10 times your games to expect such a result, the fact that you experienced it now is not much evidence for or against anything. (Why are you still here, btw, I thought you switched to the other platform?)

But if you want a more sophisticated answer, you have to read this. https://boardgamearena.com/forum/viewto ... 71&t=20708
You can't easily compute the answer to your question, it even depends on playstyle. Especially for such a rare event, the answer that people offer you based on binomial probabilities will be biased.
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Romain672
Posts: 1016
Joined: 05 April 2016, 13:53

Re: double

Post by Romain672 »

veggivet wrote: 22 July 2022, 02:17 I recently had a game where my opponent won in only 16 moves because he/she had 7 doubles in those 16 dice rolls. How many games would one have to play to see that with fair dice?
Let me open my bernouilli table which is just about number of doubles: 0.79%. 1 game out 126. So yeah it's commun.
With 2k games, that should have happen to you and against you in average (2x) 15,8 times :)

edit:
Tile J21 when you wrote 0.83 in tile C3:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... 1846324187
Last edited by Romain672 on 22 July 2022, 15:02, edited 1 time in total.
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Remkar
Posts: 292
Joined: 25 March 2021, 22:10

Re: double

Post by Remkar »

Yep, looking at the cumulative probabilities I get around 1%, so around 1 in 100 games, not that uncommon.

Also, like others have said, even if it was a rare event, rare events still happen, and are actually likely to happen to SOMEONE (many people, actually) on a site like this with so many games happening every day.

But, human brains aren't good at understanding all of us, they look for patterns and are heavily biased, so it's tough for individuals without extensive training in statistics and/or human cognition to fully appreciate and accept this.
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DILAMORO
Posts: 3
Joined: 19 June 2022, 18:13

Re: double

Post by DILAMORO »

Je suis déprimé de voir cela des double a profusion en plus les administrateur te donne des pénalité a cause que tu quitte avant la fin, est-ce qu'il crois que je vais rester a regarder défiler la série de double. Les administrateur devrais plutôt réparer ce bug. SINON FERMER CE JEU CAR AUCUN PLAISIR A JOUER. Je viens ici pour relaxer et on ne peut pas car le stress des double et je doius changer ma méthode de jouer ces horrible
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RicardoRix
Posts: 2110
Joined: 29 April 2012, 23:43

Re: double

Post by RicardoRix »

DILAMORO wrote: 28 July 2022, 22:27
The number of doubles you get is the same as the average number for all players.
https://boardgamearena.com/playerstat?i ... 99&game=53
Double rolls 4.13

In the same way, you can check your opponents to see if they get the correct number of doubles too.
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Shobu
Posts: 417
Joined: 04 January 2020, 04:14

Re: double

Post by Shobu »

THE KID wrote: 21 July 2022, 15:56 Ce site devrait fermer complètement.
Lol :lol:
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