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The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 26 December 2023, 22:29
by robnotto
It seems like I am going second and abnormal amount of time. During a recent day I went second 9 out of 10 times in a 2 player game. Is this totally random?
Seem broke.
Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 26 December 2023, 23:16
by gmrsmrt
This happens about 1% of the time. Given the large number of players and played games I guess it happens many times a day. It's completely
normal.
Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 15:48
by MANNY-OLIVIA
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Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 16:18
by gmrsmrt
MANNY-OLIVIA wrote: ↑27 December 2023, 15:48
It isn't "completely normal".
I play AZUL and 99.9% of the time I go 2nd.
This would definitely be abnormal (by the way no need for boldface). However I strongly doubt your math. You are claiming that
you played 1000 games (two players) and you got first only one time. I don't bother going through your games but I am confident that your statement can easily be proven wrong.
Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 16:23
by Cile
MANNY-OLIVIA wrote: ↑27 December 2023, 15:48
It isn't "completely normal".
I play AZUL and 99.9% of the time I go 2nd.
Here are your last 5 games of Azul you played:
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=454495030
You went 1st.
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=454053404
You went 2nd.
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=453845307
You went 1st.
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=453835583
You went 1st.
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=453467928
You went 2nd.
I recognize 5 is a small sample size but it is looking to be 50/50. Unless you have 3000 other tables of you going 2nd then it's not 99.9% of the time. It's confirmation bias.
Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 16:27
by Cile
robnotto wrote: ↑26 December 2023, 22:29
It seems like I am going second and abnormal amount of time. During a recent day I went second 9 out of 10 times in a 2 player game. Is this totally random?
Seem broke.
As of posting you went first in your last 5 games, including one with 4 players.
In a random system you'll get streaks. Looks like you had a streak of 2nds and a streak of 1st, which still works out to half to time (with 2 players).
Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 20:22
by MANNY-OLIVIA
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Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 20:27
by RobertBr
I've met many players who always get black in Chess but none of the players that must always get white.
Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 20:52
by frogstar_A
MANNY-OLIVIA wrote: ↑27 December 2023, 20:22
Where does it say on here you can't type in bold?
I didn't state that I played a 1000 games, you did.
If you'd played less than 1000 games you'd have never gone first if what you'd posted was right since 99.9% x 1000 = 999 leaving just 1 going first
However of course it was clearly a made up % and a trivial glance at your past games showed you go first 50% like everyone else

Re: The Majority of Time I go Second
Posted: 27 December 2023, 21:05
by MANNY-OLIVIA
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