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Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 29 March 2024, 01:03
by sarasusan
I've noticed a number of Earth players whose statistics are highly unlikely, such as winning 90-95% of games. For instance, I was about to play someone in the top 10 who has only played 60 games, yet has won 54 of those. I know there are genuinely amazing gamers, but there are a lot of red flags to me about some of these players. Is there a way to report suspicion of these cases?
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 29 March 2024, 07:36
by LKingdom
I suggest you use you time learning to play better rather than harming top players.
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 29 March 2024, 21:47
by Andrewsmile
I can actually shed some light on this, I was the number one Earth player for a few months when the game released and I was indeed hitting a 90% winrate- a big part of this was the general skill level of the game- not everyone "got it" and good players could win incredibly consistently against newer players, and doing this in 3 player games really boosted everyone's winrate. I almost only played 2 player but still maintained an >80% winrate and I imagine those more focused on 3 player easily got into the 90s. I can speak to BlueRadio's skill here, he was a phenomenal player back then and grinded out a high elo and stayed consistent. TLDR: skill issue
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 29 March 2024, 21:56
by LKingdom
*moderator edit: please refrain from antagonistic and insulting comments
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 20 April 2024, 04:27
by frotes
I started playing earth last season and it is definitely possible to win 80%+ of games. I'm currently at high 80s-90 and first ELO with under 100 games
the active count of this game isn't as high as others so if a stronger player is matched against a regular, you have strong odds of winning just buy understanding tempo and managing ecosystem and objectives. you can often layout your board better and in a way that will give you better outs or setups for terrain cards to score more points
if strong players face each other then draws will matter more since ultimately this is a card based game
but you would be surprised how much tactical play there is and ways to squeeze out some more points
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 08 October 2024, 09:00
by Dav101
more impressive are the players with 130% win records!
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 18 November 2024, 14:06
by Duke Herb
Dav101 wrote: ↑08 October 2024, 09:00
more impressive are the players with 130% win records!
In games with more than two players, I believe that each additional player counts as an additional half a win for the purposes of win percentage. So, beating two opponents is worth 1.5 wins.
Re: Statistically improbable ELOs
Posted: 05 February 2025, 02:41
by FrankJones
Duke Herb wrote: ↑18 November 2024, 14:06
Dav101 wrote: ↑08 October 2024, 09:00
more impressive are the players with 130% win records!
In games with more than two players, I believe that each additional player counts as an additional half a win for the purposes of win percentage. So, beating two opponents is worth 1.5 wins.
Which would help explain the 95% win Percentages that the OP was questioning in the first post of this thread.
Also, just to add to what others have been saying - this is a very confusing game for new players, and a game in which experienced players can really dominate. I'm puzzled that the OP immediately jumped to conclusions of nefarious activity with no basis.