Hidden luck bonus in the game algorithm
Posted: 13 September 2026, 16:15
Hi guys,
In the last four days we (me and a friend of mine) noticed something very weird in the game. We started to get significantly weaker opponents (with 100-200 Personal Rating) and got an incredible amount of luck. Below I post my personal stats.
Date Wins-Loses
13.09.2026 3-4 (42% WR)
12.09.2026 19-5 (79% WR)
11.09.2026 16-5 (76% WR)
10.09.2026 12-5 (70% WR)
These 70%+ WRs are rather anomalous, because my personal WR after 1200 games is just 52%. It seems that the game was matching me with weaker opponents and giving me stronger cards, i.e. "luck boost". Also the majority of losses came from higher rating players, like JuliasiG. I climbed up to Top22 in Arena with 1800+ Arena rating and 490 Personal Rating and barely met a player of similar level (400-500 rating).
Also, when I checked my games with JuliasiG (75% personal WR), I noticed rather unusual luck in her cards, like in the games (https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=905701056 and https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=914885566). The probability to get the same and unique green card in the round Two is 9%, but the coincidence of such event in 2 games out of 11 is 0.8%. Our total games score is 1:10, that is quite weird considering my 52% WR and her 75% WR, because statistically she must loose in at least 2-3 out of 10 games.
Also, the 75% WR is extremely mathematically suspicious for a two-player game. The Win Rate must saturate close to 50% at high number of games (and she literally has tens thousands of games) at high level. It seems that the game does not match high-level players to play with each other, otherwise they would inflate each other to the 50% WR, but instead it gives them weaker opponents and "luck boost".
Therefore, I expect a built-in algorithm in the game, which helps premium/high-rating players to climb the ladder. I would like to check the statistical numbers of many players. Could you please write down your Personal Rating, Win Rate, total number of games, Arena Rating and the Type of Account (Normal/Premium). In the following format:
1) Personal Rating - 447;
2) Win Rate - 52%;
3) 1231 games;
4) Arena Rating - 1720;
5) Type of Account - Normal.
Thank you for your collaboration.
In the last four days we (me and a friend of mine) noticed something very weird in the game. We started to get significantly weaker opponents (with 100-200 Personal Rating) and got an incredible amount of luck. Below I post my personal stats.
Date Wins-Loses
13.09.2026 3-4 (42% WR)
12.09.2026 19-5 (79% WR)
11.09.2026 16-5 (76% WR)
10.09.2026 12-5 (70% WR)
These 70%+ WRs are rather anomalous, because my personal WR after 1200 games is just 52%. It seems that the game was matching me with weaker opponents and giving me stronger cards, i.e. "luck boost". Also the majority of losses came from higher rating players, like JuliasiG. I climbed up to Top22 in Arena with 1800+ Arena rating and 490 Personal Rating and barely met a player of similar level (400-500 rating).
Also, when I checked my games with JuliasiG (75% personal WR), I noticed rather unusual luck in her cards, like in the games (https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=905701056 and https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=914885566). The probability to get the same and unique green card in the round Two is 9%, but the coincidence of such event in 2 games out of 11 is 0.8%. Our total games score is 1:10, that is quite weird considering my 52% WR and her 75% WR, because statistically she must loose in at least 2-3 out of 10 games.
Also, the 75% WR is extremely mathematically suspicious for a two-player game. The Win Rate must saturate close to 50% at high number of games (and she literally has tens thousands of games) at high level. It seems that the game does not match high-level players to play with each other, otherwise they would inflate each other to the 50% WR, but instead it gives them weaker opponents and "luck boost".
Therefore, I expect a built-in algorithm in the game, which helps premium/high-rating players to climb the ladder. I would like to check the statistical numbers of many players. Could you please write down your Personal Rating, Win Rate, total number of games, Arena Rating and the Type of Account (Normal/Premium). In the following format:
1) Personal Rating - 447;
2) Win Rate - 52%;
3) 1231 games;
4) Arena Rating - 1720;
5) Type of Account - Normal.
Thank you for your collaboration.