Analysis
Posted at 15:04
Sweden joining Nato would have been unthinkable - but not now
Maddy Savage
Reporting from Stockholm
Protesters in Stockholm campaigning against Sweden joining Nato
Copyright: EPA
Image caption: There have been some protests against the idea of Sweden joining Nato - but not everybody feels that way
There have been talks going on throughout the weekend.
The executive board of the ruling Social Democrat party are the ones who will make a final decision on whether the party will support a policy shift in favour of joining Nato.
All sides suggest that is likely to be what is going to happen but we're not going to know until another couple of hours from now - the party is expected to make an announcement at 18:00 local time (17:00 BST).
If the party formally says that it's happy with joining Nato then I think we could be on quite a rapid process towards that application beginning.
There's already a debate scheduled in parliament for Monday.
Most of the opposition parties are strongly in favour of joining Nato and according to Swedish media that could mean that Sweden puts its bid in formally in just the next couple of days.
This would have been unthinkable just six months ago but following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, opinion polls have really indicated a rise in support for joining Nato.
Not so much here in Sweden as in Finland - just under 50% of people asked in recent opinion polls suggesting that they would like to join Nato but that's compared to about 30% at the end of last year.
There really is a feeling among supporters of joining Nato that this would enable Sweden to feel more secure and that it would enhance the security situation across northern Europe.
16:30
BREAKING
Sweden's ruling party backs joining Nato
Sweden's ruling party, the Social Democrats, say they back the country joining Nato – this comes a few hours after its neighbour Finland said it planned to apply to join.
16:37
Sweden wants to join Nato but not have bases in the country
We've got more now on the decision of Sweden's ruling party to back the country joining Nato.
A statement says: "The Social Democrats' party board has decided that the party will work for Sweden to apply for membership in Nato."
But it does not want nuclear weapons or Nato bases in Sweden.
"The Social Democrats will thus work to ensure that Sweden, if the application is approved by Nato, expresses unilateral reservations against the deployment of nuclear weapons and permanent bases on Swedish territory," the statement continues.
Swedish leader Magdalena Andersson and other senior ministers from her party will speak in a news conference in about half an hour.
17:10
Sweden needs Nato security guarantees - Swedish PM
Sweden's Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson is currently speaking at a press conference.
She says Sweden needs the formal security guarantees that come with membership of Nato.
She is addressing reporters as Sweden has just announced it intends to apply to join the Nato alliance in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
17:16
'We would be in very vulnerable position' - Swedish PM
Magdalena Andersson has also just told reporters that if Sweden was the only country in the Baltic region that did not join Nato "we would be in a very vulnerable position".
As we've been reporting, Sweden has confirmed its intention to formally apply to join the alliance.
The announcement being made by the ruling Social Democrats comes a few hours after Finland announced it was seeking to be part of the alliance.
17:22
Sweden will be a security provider, says PM
Magdalena Andersson says as a member of Nato Sweden will "only achieve" more security and contribute to more security.
"Sweden will be a security provider," the Swedish prime minister adds.
But she says Sweden will be vulnerable during the application process - before it gets the full backing of other countries a Nato member would have.
17:49
Turkey's concerns can be overcome - Swedish PM
Sweden's Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson says she will go to parliament tomorrow aiming to secure support for an application to join Nato.
She also says there's a good chance Turkey's reported doubts about Finland and Sweden's potential membership can be solved.
As we reported, on Saturday Turkey's Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said it was "unacceptable and outrageous" that the prospective new members supported the outlawed Kurdish militant group PKK.
But on Sunday Nato's Deputy Secretary-General Mircea Geoana said he was confident the concerns could be addressed.
Announcing Finland's intention to join Nato earlier, the country's Prime Minister Sanna Marin said her nation's decision would also have to go through parliament but she trusted the Finnish parliament would debate "this historic decision with determination and responsibility", while President Sauli Niinisto said he was confused by reports of Turkish concerns.
17:53
Nato membership is not a move against Russia - Swedish PM
Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson says her country's decision to apply for Nato membership is "not something against Russia" but something that is best for Sweden.
She previously said the decision to join the alliance would help Sweden achieve more security and contribute to more security.
Andersson confirms her party hopes to synchronise Sweden's membership application with Finland's as much as possible.
Russian President Vladimir Putin previously described Finland's intention to join Nato as a mistake.
18:18
How popular is joining Nato in Sweden and Finland?
Sweden's decision to apply join Nato will end 200 years of military non-alignment.
In Finland, which today also confirmed it will put in a Nato bid, polls carried out by Finnish broadcaster Yle showed 76% of the population would support the country’s membership.
But in Sweden joining the alliance is a less popular stance. Recent polls suggest that about half of the population are in favour of joining the defensive military alliance.
Although this proportion is far higher than it was before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the country’s ruling party had previously been split on the issue.
Ukraine war: Russia's invasion not going to plan, Nato says
By Thom Poole
BBC News
Published4 hours ago
Nato's secretary general says Russia's war in Ukraine is not going to plan and that its attempt to capture the eastern Donbas region has "stalled".
Jens Stoltenberg also said Ukraine could win the conflict.
Britain's Ministry of Defence (MoD) estimates Russia has lost about a third of its ground combat force since the war began in February.
The Russian invasion has been hampered by stiff Ukrainian resistance and logistical issues.
Its initial goal appeared to be to sweep across the country and topple the Ukrainian government. Instead, Russia has withdrawn from areas around the capital Kyiv after failing to capture it and since mid-April has been focusing its efforts on two eastern provinces.
In Ukraine's second city of Kharkiv, officials say Russian forces have withdrawn from to the border and that residents were returning.
"Russia's war in Ukraine is not going as Moscow had planned," said Mr Stoltenberg.
"They failed to take Kyiv, they are pulling back from around Kharkiv, their major offensive in Donbas has stalled. Russia is not achieving its strategic objectives."
Mr Stoltenberg was speaking at a meeting of Nato foreign ministers.
On top of the military setbacks, another consequence of the invasion is that Russia will likely face an expanded Nato with Sweden and Finland set to join.
Russia's President Vladimir Putin sees Nato as a security threat to Russia and invaded Ukraine in part to stop it joining Nato.
In its assessment, the MoD's estimate of Russia's losses cover men killed or wounded and equipment destroyed or captured.
The MoD said Russia's Donbas offensive had "lost momentum and fallen significantly behind schedule".
It said Russia was constrained by "continued low morale and reduced combat effectiveness".
The British Foreign Secretary, Liz Truss, said Ukraine's allies must keep up its military support to help it "push Russia out".
On the ground. Ukrainian forces are counterattacking in the city of Izyum, regional governor Oleh Sinegubov said, something that could complicate Russian plans to capture the Donbas.
However Ukraine's military also acknowledged setbacks in its latest updates, saying Russia was advancing in several areas in the region.
There has been no let up for the remaining Ukrainian forces in Mariupol, with Russia continuing its bombardment of the steelworks where they are holed up. Video purportedly from inside showed men checking their phones and playing chess.
And in western Ukraine, the governor of the Lviv region said missiles had targeted military infrastructure.
20:12
'If you come here, it will hurt': The Swedish island of Gotland
Paul Adams
BBC Diplomatic correspondent
If Sweden joins Nato, it'll represent a return to strategic significance for its largest island, Gotland.
Lying just 200 miles from Kaliningrad, headquarters of Russia’s Baltic fleet, the island had been likened to an unsinkable aircraft carrier. An ideal spot, during the Cold War, from which to defend Sweden and project power over the Baltic.
There was a time when as many as 20,000 troops were stationed there.
But Gotland's last military units stood down in 2005 and Gotland fell into military obscurity.
Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, and its subsequent sponsorship of separatist fighters in the Donbas led Sweden to reconsider.
On a visit to the island in 2016, I saw preparations for the return of a garrison.
Michael Bydén, Sweden's Supreme Commander, told me it was all about sending a message to Russia.
"If you come here, it will hurt."
But it was also about making sure that Sweden - which was already experiencing regular Russian military incursions into its airspace and submarine activity close to the capital Stockholm - was not taken by surprise.
The Gotland Regiment was reactivated in 2018.
Last month, the government announced plans to spend $163m boosting the island’s defences.
Back in 2016, a decision to join Nato was still some way off, but listening at the time to Swedish airforce communications – all in English – was just one of many signs that when the time came, "interoperability" with Nato forces would not be a problem.
Posted at 15:04
Sweden joining Nato would have been unthinkable - but not now
Maddy Savage
Reporting from Stockholm
Protesters in Stockholm campaigning against Sweden joining Nato
Copyright: EPA
Image caption: There have been some protests against the idea of Sweden joining Nato - but not everybody feels that way
There have been talks going on throughout the weekend.
The executive board of the ruling Social Democrat party are the ones who will make a final decision on whether the party will support a policy shift in favour of joining Nato.
All sides suggest that is likely to be what is going to happen but we're not going to know until another couple of hours from now - the party is expected to make an announcement at 18:00 local time (17:00 BST).
If the party formally says that it's happy with joining Nato then I think we could be on quite a rapid process towards that application beginning.
There's already a debate scheduled in parliament for Monday.
Most of the opposition parties are strongly in favour of joining Nato and according to Swedish media that could mean that Sweden puts its bid in formally in just the next couple of days.
This would have been unthinkable just six months ago but following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, opinion polls have really indicated a rise in support for joining Nato.
Not so much here in Sweden as in Finland - just under 50% of people asked in recent opinion polls suggesting that they would like to join Nato but that's compared to about 30% at the end of last year.
There really is a feeling among supporters of joining Nato that this would enable Sweden to feel more secure and that it would enhance the security situation across northern Europe.
16:30
BREAKING
Sweden's ruling party backs joining Nato
Sweden's ruling party, the Social Democrats, say they back the country joining Nato – this comes a few hours after its neighbour Finland said it planned to apply to join.
16:37
Sweden wants to join Nato but not have bases in the country
We've got more now on the decision of Sweden's ruling party to back the country joining Nato.
A statement says: "The Social Democrats' party board has decided that the party will work for Sweden to apply for membership in Nato."
But it does not want nuclear weapons or Nato bases in Sweden.
"The Social Democrats will thus work to ensure that Sweden, if the application is approved by Nato, expresses unilateral reservations against the deployment of nuclear weapons and permanent bases on Swedish territory," the statement continues.
Swedish leader Magdalena Andersson and other senior ministers from her party will speak in a news conference in about half an hour.
17:10
Sweden needs Nato security guarantees - Swedish PM
Sweden's Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson is currently speaking at a press conference.
She says Sweden needs the formal security guarantees that come with membership of Nato.
She is addressing reporters as Sweden has just announced it intends to apply to join the Nato alliance in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
17:16
'We would be in very vulnerable position' - Swedish PM
Magdalena Andersson has also just told reporters that if Sweden was the only country in the Baltic region that did not join Nato "we would be in a very vulnerable position".
As we've been reporting, Sweden has confirmed its intention to formally apply to join the alliance.
The announcement being made by the ruling Social Democrats comes a few hours after Finland announced it was seeking to be part of the alliance.
17:22
Sweden will be a security provider, says PM
Magdalena Andersson says as a member of Nato Sweden will "only achieve" more security and contribute to more security.
"Sweden will be a security provider," the Swedish prime minister adds.
But she says Sweden will be vulnerable during the application process - before it gets the full backing of other countries a Nato member would have.
17:49
Turkey's concerns can be overcome - Swedish PM
Sweden's Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson says she will go to parliament tomorrow aiming to secure support for an application to join Nato.
She also says there's a good chance Turkey's reported doubts about Finland and Sweden's potential membership can be solved.
As we reported, on Saturday Turkey's Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said it was "unacceptable and outrageous" that the prospective new members supported the outlawed Kurdish militant group PKK.
But on Sunday Nato's Deputy Secretary-General Mircea Geoana said he was confident the concerns could be addressed.
Announcing Finland's intention to join Nato earlier, the country's Prime Minister Sanna Marin said her nation's decision would also have to go through parliament but she trusted the Finnish parliament would debate "this historic decision with determination and responsibility", while President Sauli Niinisto said he was confused by reports of Turkish concerns.
17:53
Nato membership is not a move against Russia - Swedish PM
Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson says her country's decision to apply for Nato membership is "not something against Russia" but something that is best for Sweden.
She previously said the decision to join the alliance would help Sweden achieve more security and contribute to more security.
Andersson confirms her party hopes to synchronise Sweden's membership application with Finland's as much as possible.
Russian President Vladimir Putin previously described Finland's intention to join Nato as a mistake.
18:18
How popular is joining Nato in Sweden and Finland?
Sweden's decision to apply join Nato will end 200 years of military non-alignment.
In Finland, which today also confirmed it will put in a Nato bid, polls carried out by Finnish broadcaster Yle showed 76% of the population would support the country’s membership.
But in Sweden joining the alliance is a less popular stance. Recent polls suggest that about half of the population are in favour of joining the defensive military alliance.
Although this proportion is far higher than it was before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the country’s ruling party had previously been split on the issue.
Ukraine war: Russia's invasion not going to plan, Nato says
By Thom Poole
BBC News
Published4 hours ago
Nato's secretary general says Russia's war in Ukraine is not going to plan and that its attempt to capture the eastern Donbas region has "stalled".
Jens Stoltenberg also said Ukraine could win the conflict.
Britain's Ministry of Defence (MoD) estimates Russia has lost about a third of its ground combat force since the war began in February.
The Russian invasion has been hampered by stiff Ukrainian resistance and logistical issues.
Its initial goal appeared to be to sweep across the country and topple the Ukrainian government. Instead, Russia has withdrawn from areas around the capital Kyiv after failing to capture it and since mid-April has been focusing its efforts on two eastern provinces.
In Ukraine's second city of Kharkiv, officials say Russian forces have withdrawn from to the border and that residents were returning.
"Russia's war in Ukraine is not going as Moscow had planned," said Mr Stoltenberg.
"They failed to take Kyiv, they are pulling back from around Kharkiv, their major offensive in Donbas has stalled. Russia is not achieving its strategic objectives."
Mr Stoltenberg was speaking at a meeting of Nato foreign ministers.
On top of the military setbacks, another consequence of the invasion is that Russia will likely face an expanded Nato with Sweden and Finland set to join.
Russia's President Vladimir Putin sees Nato as a security threat to Russia and invaded Ukraine in part to stop it joining Nato.
In its assessment, the MoD's estimate of Russia's losses cover men killed or wounded and equipment destroyed or captured.
The MoD said Russia's Donbas offensive had "lost momentum and fallen significantly behind schedule".
It said Russia was constrained by "continued low morale and reduced combat effectiveness".
The British Foreign Secretary, Liz Truss, said Ukraine's allies must keep up its military support to help it "push Russia out".
On the ground. Ukrainian forces are counterattacking in the city of Izyum, regional governor Oleh Sinegubov said, something that could complicate Russian plans to capture the Donbas.
However Ukraine's military also acknowledged setbacks in its latest updates, saying Russia was advancing in several areas in the region.
There has been no let up for the remaining Ukrainian forces in Mariupol, with Russia continuing its bombardment of the steelworks where they are holed up. Video purportedly from inside showed men checking their phones and playing chess.
And in western Ukraine, the governor of the Lviv region said missiles had targeted military infrastructure.
20:12
'If you come here, it will hurt': The Swedish island of Gotland
Paul Adams
BBC Diplomatic correspondent
If Sweden joins Nato, it'll represent a return to strategic significance for its largest island, Gotland.
Lying just 200 miles from Kaliningrad, headquarters of Russia’s Baltic fleet, the island had been likened to an unsinkable aircraft carrier. An ideal spot, during the Cold War, from which to defend Sweden and project power over the Baltic.
There was a time when as many as 20,000 troops were stationed there.
But Gotland's last military units stood down in 2005 and Gotland fell into military obscurity.
Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, and its subsequent sponsorship of separatist fighters in the Donbas led Sweden to reconsider.
On a visit to the island in 2016, I saw preparations for the return of a garrison.
Michael Bydén, Sweden's Supreme Commander, told me it was all about sending a message to Russia.
"If you come here, it will hurt."
But it was also about making sure that Sweden - which was already experiencing regular Russian military incursions into its airspace and submarine activity close to the capital Stockholm - was not taken by surprise.
The Gotland Regiment was reactivated in 2018.
Last month, the government announced plans to spend $163m boosting the island’s defences.
Back in 2016, a decision to join Nato was still some way off, but listening at the time to Swedish airforce communications – all in English – was just one of many signs that when the time came, "interoperability" with Nato forces would not be a problem.















