dice used in catan is biased

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Rufasu
Posts: 57
Joined: 04 March 2023, 07:31

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Rufasu »

I think we can use probabilities for everything, but there are actually many games where the dice are too biased and one-sided.
I think there is a need to investigate that instead of just looking at the dice.
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Nekojin
Posts: 121
Joined: 28 March 2024, 01:21

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Nekojin »

Go ahead. Investigate it, using proper scientific methodology. We'll wait.
Rufasu
Posts: 57
Joined: 04 March 2023, 07:31

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Rufasu »

I have done over 1000 catans here and frequently experience the same pattern of dice rolls.
I would like to see something other than the total value of the dice rolls properly.
Rufasu
Posts: 57
Joined: 04 March 2023, 07:31

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Rufasu »

This is a translation error and will be corrected.
I would like to see something other than the total value of the dice rolls checked properly.
Rufasu
Posts: 57
Joined: 04 March 2023, 07:31

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Rufasu »

To report the situation in more detail, there is a pattern in the dice rolls that appear in each game.
In other words, there are many games in which the person whose dice rolls out wins hands down.
Rufasu
Posts: 57
Joined: 04 March 2023, 07:31

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Rufasu »

Google Translate doesn't translate well.
My point is that many matches are dominated by players with specific numbers.
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Jellby
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Joined: 31 December 2013, 12:22

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Jellby »

Yes, so? That's what random dice do.
Rufasu
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Joined: 04 March 2023, 07:31

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Rufasu »

It is rash to say that everything is random.
True random numbers must have variation.
Bad programs have bias.
The BGA's Catan shows signs of this.
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Cos-
Posts: 509
Joined: 28 August 2020, 22:51

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Cos- »

Rufasu wrote: 20 July 2024, 16:19 It is rash to say that everything is random.
True random numbers must have variation.
Bad programs have bias.
The BGA's Catan shows signs of this.
You keep saying that, but haven't presented actual evidence. This thread is full of people who misunderstand randomness and probability, finding patterns in the dice rolls where if you actually look at the numbers, it looks very plausible that they're just random. So having one more person say "no, I really see patterns" is not at all convincing. I highly doubt it.

You can view the replays of all your games. Make a list, record all the sequences of dice rolls you saw, and show us both the dice sequences and the links to the games you looked at.
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Jellby
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Joined: 31 December 2013, 12:22

Re: dice used in catan is biased

Post by Jellby »

Seeing patterns after the fact is useless. If you can predict patterns, use then to your advantage and win more games ;)
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