Is getting 3 of the same clan cards really "rare" like the tutorial says?

[Herb Grizzle]

First game I played, I ended up with 3 of the same clan cards on my road on the first turn. Nothing I could have done about it. I played one card, and then drew 2 more of the one I didn't play.

The tutorial said this is rare. It doesn't feel very rare when it happens in your first game on the first turn.

[Vedarkunt]

Answering with good math would take me too long, but average math will do: you have 1clan, there is 7 clans. You draw. 1/7 chance to get the same. You draw again 1/7 to get the same.
(Let not dig to much on cards already out, etc...)

That's 1/7x1/7 probability. Around 1/50 games will start like that. It s all

[Interrobang]

Vedarkunt's got it, as least as a quite good approximation. Rare things happen, and humans are really, really bad at judging probabilities.

[shemgarphill]

Being overrun on turn one can be great. You gain 1 Spirit and get 2 cards to.hand.

[CharlieFlowers]

Did the math and it is that 1 every 65 (1.53% of probability) starts are going to have that scenario. Not incredibly rare, but quite rare. I think it's a boost in any case, although not major.