worst rolls in stone age

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zfm
Posts: 92
Joined: 22 March 2011, 12:51

worst rolls in stone age

Post by zfm »

This game would be my worst rolls ever http://en.boardgamearena.com/#!table?table=261139...

I have replayed the game, Z is me, and S is my opponent, and here are the statistics, I put the data as the sum(number of people) for each rolls:

Z: 9(3), 9(4), 6(3), 13(3), 10(2), 12(3), 4(2), 12(3), 5(3), 1(1), 14(4), 2(1), 2(2), 9(4), 7(4), 5(1), 2(1), 14(5), 8(5)

S: 14(3), 12(2), 17(4), 19(4), 11(2), 11(2), 3(3), 4(2), 17(3), 11(3), 7(4), 13(4), 8(2), 3(1), 10(4), 5(3), 20(4)

I bold the rolls of which the averages are lower than 2.5 and underlined the rolls of which the averages are greater than 4.5...

My opponent got 7 above 4.5, 4 under 2.5 out of his 17 rolls.

I got ONLY two above 4.5 and 11 under 2.5 out of my 19 rolls.

In the end, although I won the game, this kind of games really frustrated me and this really makes me want to quit playing Stone Age. The factor of luck, before I thought it's about 20-30% of the game, could be around 70-80% after playing game like this...
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knarf
Posts: 15
Joined: 06 July 2011, 22:52

Re: worst rolls in stone age

Post by knarf »

Can't be 70-80. Your evidence proves you got smashed by luck, but still won. So definitely below 50%, theoretically speaking! =)
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Orgon
Posts: 15
Joined: 04 June 2011, 20:40

Re: worst rolls in stone age

Post by Orgon »

A sample of 19 is a bit small to draw any statistical conclusion. The average value per dice is 2.7 versus 3.8 and the median is 2.3 versus 4 but the standard deviation calculated for each sample intersect so they are not really different...
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