Hidden luck bonus in the game algorithm

[Sanchez_137]

Update:
I invested in Premium subscription, and I noticed that the game started to give me very weak players quite often.

with THAT you might be onto something!
there might be a (more or less) coincidential connection between people investing in bga and are also decent at the game, in the lower end of the skill scale at least ... and vice versa - in general.
but that SHOULDNT matter much since 7wd is way more a skill game than a luck game, even vanilla, and arena rating works like elo (look up how that works and why it doesnt matter for your avg point gain (with some asterics here...))

[VladKha]

Thank you for your valuable comment, but my message was not about asking someone for analyzing my strategy in a particular game. I am trying to understand whether there is a hidden mechanism that would work in favor for premium/high-rating players or not. Besides, the described case (with the exact green card coming in the beggining of the second round) happend to me already 3 times today against three different players. So... Could you please write down your Personal Rating, Win Rate, total number of games, Arena Rating and the Type of Account (Normal/Premium) as in the message above?

please write down out of how many games people got THE EXACT right green in age 2 (assuming they started, had it on top and had only ONE science card built (?)) - for instance "in 3 out of 50 games that had that setup this happened" .....

Last day it happened 3 times in 19 games. For independent event it should be 1.71 times in 19 games, or 3 times in 33 games. I also haven't considered the number of times when opponent starts the game and the probability of an opponent having only 1 green card in the end of age 1. So the correct probability will be AxBxC, where A=probability of an opponent having only 1 green card in the end of age 1 (roughly 26% chance, statistically it may be lower because I assumed only distribution within 4 + 1 (no cards case) cards), B=probability of an opponent starting first the age 2 (lets say 50%), C=probability to have exactly one green card in the beginning of age 2 (9%).AxBxC=1.17% chance. I had it in 15.8% cases out of 19 games yesterday, and in 18% cases out of 11 games with JuliasiG and all of them happened in favor of my opponents with premium subscriptions.

Update.
15 games played in total against JuliasiG. The same thing happened again:
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=927274484
3/15 is 20%, that is higher than 9% probability for independent event.

[kavookavala]

please write down out of how many games people got THE EXACT right green in age 2 (assuming they started, had it on top and had only ONE science card built (?)) - for instance "in 3 out of 50 games that had that setup this happened" .....

Last day it happened 3 times in 19 games. For independent event it should be 1.71 times in 19 games, or 3 times in 33 games. I also haven't considered the number of times when opponent starts the game and the probability of an opponent having only 1 green card in the end of age 1. So the correct probability will be AxBxC, where A=probability of an opponent having only 1 green card in the end of age 1 (roughly 26% chance, statistically it may be lower because I assumed only distribution within 4 + 1 (no cards case) cards), B=probability of an opponent starting first the age 2 (lets say 50%), C=probability to have exactly one green card in the beginning of age 2 (9%).AxBxC=1.17% chance. I had it in 15.8% cases out of 19 games yesterday, and in 18% cases out of 11 games with JuliasiG and all of them happened in favor of my opponents with premium subscriptions.

Update.
15 games played in total against JuliasiG. The same thing happened again:
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=927274484
3/15 is 20%, that is higher than 9% probability for independent event.

You made a lot of bad decisions in that game and still almost won. Luck was clearly on your side.

[VladKha]

Last day it happened 3 times in 19 games. For independent event it should be 1.71 times in 19 games, or 3 times in 33 games. I also haven't considered the number of times when opponent starts the game and the probability of an opponent having only 1 green card in the end of age 1. So the correct probability will be AxBxC, where A=probability of an opponent having only 1 green card in the end of age 1 (roughly 26% chance, statistically it may be lower because I assumed only distribution within 4 + 1 (no cards case) cards), B=probability of an opponent starting first the age 2 (lets say 50%), C=probability to have exactly one green card in the beginning of age 2 (9%).AxBxC=1.17% chance. I had it in 15.8% cases out of 19 games yesterday, and in 18% cases out of 11 games with JuliasiG and all of them happened in favor of my opponents with premium subscriptions.

Update.
15 games played in total against JuliasiG. The same thing happened again:
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=927274484
3/15 is 20%, that is higher than 9% probability for independent event.

You made a lot of bad decisions in that game and still almost won. Luck was clearly on your side.

Thank you very much for sharing your valuable opinion.