That ~8.7% come from a single spot.
In the three screenshots, you can have the specific card in the left or the right spot which close to double the probability (2/23+21/23*2/22).
And so there is 17.0% chance to get a specific card of your choice in any of the lowest position at the start of age 2.
So you expect it more than 1 game out of 6.
In the three screenshots, you can have the specific card in the left or the right spot which close to double the probability (2/23+21/23*2/22).
And so there is 17.0% chance to get a specific card of your choice in any of the lowest position at the start of age 2.
So you expect it more than 1 game out of 6.