1st ranked player in Kabaleo

[souly4]

I just played Kabaleo again and lost against a 'beginner'. The problem with bluffing in general is that 'good moves' can be bad and reverse, just because the other wont expect it. Here only one color was ahead of mine, and it was the one that throughout was least likely if you apply objective judgement, because least reasonable play from my opponent. This way lower ranked players can have the advantage of being almost not predictable.

Looking at it a bit more closely it does seem a bit odd because JoeyD seems to be a player with some skill at other games too, but I will stand by my original statement to say I think Ftarantino is a cut above the regular player.

This statement shows me you don't know the game well, and/or you haven't read my descriptions. It's so self-explananatory and light that there are barely any meaningful decisions. If you don't play with 0-5 years old toddlers/children, the absolute highest winning probability I would assign rates around 75%. I have been on a lucky streak myself, that's why it's still higher, but nowhere near I would approach 12 consecutive wins against 'good' opponents, let alone the same player.

where are you getting 40% from? Ftarantino has a higher ELO on their first meeting.

This is wrong too. They were on 116 vs 235 on their first match, with JoeyD holding the higher number.
https://boardgamearena.com/table?table=51667868