stinkhorn/incan gold

[jimbojonesunc]

why is stinkhorn so bad at incan gold?

[jimbojonesunc]

i think the problem is that he always plays against gringojordan (who is amazing, btw). plus his move of always leaving after the second hazard card is garbage.

[jimbojonesunc]

I mean look at this code:

Problem:
Calculate probability of drawing a second obstacle card of the same type with:
• number of cards remaining
• the fact that one of the obstacle cards already appeared
x = 1 # number of additional hazard to draw (usually 1)
m = 2 # number of that hazard left (usually 2 because one is already in hand)
draw = 2:15 # how many cards are in play
n = 30 - m - draw # number of cards remaining that aren't the specific obstacle
k = 1 # number of balls to be drawn
plot(draw, dhyper(x, m, n, k), type = 'h', xlab = 'Draw number',
ylab='Probability of 2nd hazard')