Pushkiin wrote: ↑16 April 2022, 19:01
I "love" how they question probability based statistical research, and their solution is to use snowball non probability approach, which is basically involves the recruitment of subjects from among their acquaintances. In other words, finding contacts through groups that already have similar views. This article is helpful to articulate how some of the folks may think about the war, but it does not counter in anyway statistical data. The support of Putin in Russia has alway been strong, the anti Ukrainian attitudes since the annexation of Crimea were strong as well, so there is very little reason to doubt why the majority of Russians would not support the "military operation" in Ukraine, especially since we do have statistical data that shows this support.
Let me ask you this. Why is it in Belorussia with the authoritarian regime being in place, propaganda and imprisonments only a small minority expressed support for the war? Why are Belorussians willing to sabotage and cause logistical problems for the Russian army but Russians themselves are not (at least we see very little evidence of that). Russian chauvinism, patronizing and colonial attitudes in Russia towards Ukraine are widespread and they are also responsible for what is happening today. Even those who oppose the war, still tend to frame their opposition in very amorphous terms and are not willing to discuss even a minimum level of collective responsibility of the Russian people.
I would also say that being against the war in Ukraine is not enough, Russian people need to reflect and rethink how they related and relate to Ukraine and Ukrainian people. The reflection and reckoning with Russian imperial and colonial legacy has not happened in Russia, so it's not surprising to me that Russian people had no problem with accepting Putin's conception and definition of Ukraine and and Ukrainian identify and his reasons for the war.
If the question about Belarus is not rhetorical, but to me personally, then I do not know the answer to it. The reason is that I am very far from Belarus (in a region that also rebelled in 2020), I do not personally know a single Belarus, I am not familiar with the situation in Belarus.
I can speak with confidence only about the situation in Russia. Enormous funds were allocated and continue to be allocated for propaganda. Using some of this, villas were built on the Cote d'Azur, but a system was created with the main funds that could change the minds of people, direct their thoughts in the right direction. The system works extremely efficiently! It is curious that a huge number of women are very belligerent. I draw this conclusion by reading the comments on YouTube and Telegram. This can be explained by the fact that every kitchen now has a TV, and the kitchen is the sovereign territory of women, where they spend a lot of time.
And even with all this, among my circle, I see a huge discrepancy between the statistics (which you cite) and what I can see with my own eyes. Your links are very interesting to me and I'm watching around. I provoke taxi drivers, hairdressers, sellers to talk, I watch stickers with symbols of war. Among the more than 400 contacts on my phone, only one person posted an avatar with a similar symbol.
I think that statistics like this is another way to manipulate people's minds.