Hidden luck bonus in the game algorithm

[Romain672]

(removed, was wrong)

[silentProtest]

That ~8.7% come from a single spot.
In the three screenshots, you can have the specific card in the left or the right spot which close to double the probability (2/23+21/23*2/22).

And so there is 17.0% chance to get a specific card of your choice in any of the lowest position at the start of age 2.
So you expect it more than 1 game out of 6.

what ?? why ??
1/23 in first spot. 1/22 in second spot ...makes 1-(22/23*21/22)=>8.7%

why is there a "+" in there ??
please deconstruct (2/23+21/23*2/22) for me...

[Romain672]

Yeah sorry I was wrong it's just 2/23. I don't know why I added a 2 there.

[siGlle]

Why are you only focusing on the theology token. It is not the God of this game.
Look at that game : https://boardgamearena.com/archive/repl ... s=94385687

you had all the theology/extra turns that you wanted but still lost...
How about the fact that you were the first player in your games agains juliasig 9 times out of 15. Maybe BGA is trying to help you there.

When you realize that this game is not only about Theology or (biased) Luck and more about strategy maybe you'll stop blaming your losses on Premium/nonPremium accounts.

[silentProtest]

Why are you only focusing on the theology token. It is not the God of this game.
Look at that game : https://boardgamearena.com/archive/repl ... s=94385687

you had all the theology/extra turns that you wanted but still lost...
How about the fact that you were the first player in your games agains juliasig 9 times out of 15. Maybe BGA is trying to help you there.

When you realize that this game is not only about Theology or (biased) Luck and more about strategy maybe you'll stop blaming your losses on Premium/nonPremium accounts.

I mean it was a won game, even if he doesnt rush to theology - the whole thing is just comically bad played .... even after he wasted 2 wonders for theology he should have won it - just dont let him get wood and get some glass or paper and its done ....